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Very bad computer meltdown for me, but I’m back up and running now. In about an hour I’ll have the probabilities up for the remainder of the tournament. No more sims, I can solve everything directly from here on out now. I’ll also list the expected scores and percentages for each of the Round of […]

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For all of you around the world who heard a very loud scream emanating from the general direction of Phoenix, Arizona at around 12:00 PM EST, I apologize. I’m pretty sure it won’t happen again (though it would be nice).

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Every group has now finished the first two rounds of games, and now comes the final game of the group stages, and for half the teams their last game of the tournament. Let’s get all the updated numbers out of the way first. The National Team Rankings have now been updated. An important note for […]

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Expect a ratings and simulation update for the World Cup in the next few hours.

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1-1 Mexico – South Africa 0-0 France – Uruguay Before getting into the sims, it’s worth pointing out the basics here. Because of the two draws, 5 points is a magic number now. A win and a draw in the next two games for any of the four teams in Group A puts them through […]

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Alright, tomorrow is the big opening between Mexico and the host country. Here is how the National Team rankings handicap each match in the group stage. The way this is done is by separating each game into 33 equal scoring chances for each team, and their chances for each would obviously be the predicted goals […]

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Well this Friday the big shindig starts in South Africa with the host country facing Mexico in the opening match. And so in anticipation of that, here are the final set of numbers before the tournament gets under way.

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It’s now May of 2010 and that means the big shindig is almost here. So to kick off the run-up to the start of the World Cup, the most obvious place is an update of the National Team Rankings. Since last November, most of the International Matches played have been friendlies, though the African Nations […]

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Okay so now we know exactly which teams will play each other in the Group Stages and where the teams that advance will go in the bracket. How has that changed things?

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Here it is, which teams will play which teams. WC 2010 Draw A good draw for my team, but we’re capable of losing to anyone, so no point in getting too excited. I’ll try and run some sims as soon as possible.

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