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A look at the qualification chances for Euro 2012 is up on ESPN Insider. Insider is a pay area of ESPN which is a big reason why they can pay me. It’s a couple bucks a month, generally, and you get it for free if you already have a subscription to ESPN the Magazine. For […]

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Still trying to nail down the final details, and the Aruba/St. Lucia matches got pushed forward so they haven’t happened yet. But Montserrat and Belize kick off 2014 World Cup Qualifying tomorrow in T&T (Montserrat generally isn’t able to host its home matches because of problems with facilities). Anyhow, based on past results, this isn’t […]

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There won’t be any sims just yet as I’m still working on the final details of how it’s going to be done. However the very first qualifier for 2014 gets played today between St. Lucia and Aruba who kick off a home and home series with a match in St. Lucia. So I’ll just quickly […]

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Since fall of last year I’ve been doing statistical analysis on football for a private company and that has restricted my ability to post here. I’ve also started to write about soccer and baseball for ESPN Insider, the first article of which was published last Friday. However that doesn’t necessarily spell the end of things […]

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I thought an interesting experiment would be to port the National Team Rankings over to club football and see what they come up with. So as a start, I gathered up all the league and FA Cup matches for the first five divisions in the English Pyramid the last four years. Promotion and Relegation provide […]

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Well there’s 63 games played and only one left to go. One team will collect it’s first ever World Cup, sending one of the two football mad countries into delirium and making National Heroes out of 23 players.

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We’re down to the last four teams, and the favorites, Brazil, have been knocked out. The good news for them, I suppose, is that when they got knocked out, they also became the first team to qualify for the 2014 World Cup. Silver linings and such. The National Team Rankings have been recalculated (this is […]

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Alright there’s eight teams left and the three biggest pre-tournament favorites remain in the competition. Five of the top six also remain with only England falling out from that group. EDIT: A Minor Mathematical Error made the original numbers slightly off. These are no corrected. This error affected nothing until the “Knockout Stages post.” That’s […]

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I’m going to do this as quick as possible because of the computer caused delay. Here’s the new ratings including all games as of the end of the Group Stages (though not counting the just completed game between Uruguay and South Korea). The two biggest things to note here is Italy dropping out of the […]

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Very bad computer meltdown for me, but I’m back up and running now. In about an hour I’ll have the probabilities up for the remainder of the tournament. No more sims, I can solve everything directly from here on out now. I’ll also list the expected scores and percentages for each of the Round of […]

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