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Well this Friday the big shindig starts in South Africa with the host country facing Mexico in the opening match. And so in anticipation of that, here are the final set of numbers before the tournament gets under way.

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It’s now May of 2010 and that means the big shindig is almost here. So to kick off the run-up to the start of the World Cup, the most obvious place is an update of the National Team Rankings. Since last November, most of the International Matches played have been friendlies, though the African Nations […]

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Okay so now we know exactly which teams will play each other in the Group Stages and where the teams that advance will go in the bracket. How has that changed things?

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Here it is, which teams will play which teams. WC 2010 Draw A good draw for my team, but we’re capable of losing to anyone, so no point in getting too excited. I’ll try and run some sims as soon as possible.

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UPDATE: A coding error caused some odd things to happen in the previous set of sims and so I had to re-code things and then re-run the sims. The new (and fixed) run of sims are now reflected in the table and the old ones tossed out. The data dump file has also been replaced […]

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Have finished writing the code for the World Cup Simulations. Some features in this one: 1. 10,000 sims as usual. 2. Results of all 640,000 matches in dump file. 3. Win percentages for each team in both percentage and fractional odds form. 4. Current version alternates between CONMEBOL/CAF and CONMEBOL/AFC/OFC composition of pots. Will change […]

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Three more teams are in, the final six will be known by tomorrow night. The updated National Team Rankings can be found here. Full qualification chances can be found here.

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Okay, there’s 9 spots left, 4 in Europe, 3 in Africa and 2 more in playoffs between Asia and Oceania and North and South America. An important note: One minor change has been made to the National Team rankings. In the explanation to the rating system posted earlier, I explained that I needed to convert […]

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I’m going to do this one in separate parts, because I think it’s wise to wait until the draw at the start of next week before diving into the playoff percentages in UEFA. This will also give me a few days to try out a couple of minor adjustments to help tweak things a bit. […]

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